BreakerCulture | Sports Card Anayltics

HUGE ANNOUNCEMENT

BreakerCulture — Mon, 05 Apr 2021 14:08:22 GMT

BreakerCulture Premium subscribers. I owe you a sincere apology. Some of you pay me for analysis and I'm extremely thankful for that. I have dropped the ball in March/April and not posted anything of note. I'm going to explain what's up here shortly... but FIRST, you'll notice that you've each been comp'd each of you the next 6 months of access, no char…

PSA 10 vs 9 vs 8

BreakerCulture — Thu, 18 Feb 2021 20:18:05 GMT

Good afternoon. I’ve compiled a bunch of different types of data around PSA grade levels and I wanted to share a few.

I would use these are reference points for you our own buying/selling.

This is data for the TOP basketball cards of CURRENT PLAYERS PSA 10 rookies. I’ll have HoF and Current Baseball/Football data to you later.

PSA 9 prices on average are…

MARKET INSIGHT - CAUSE FOR CONCERN

BreakerCulture — Thu, 18 Feb 2021 00:30:10 GMT

It’s been too long since my last market report. I know. But guess what, I’ve finally been able to start building a unique database of card data….and it’s really helpful.

Let’s look at the Macro insight tonight.

Obviously we know prices seem to be exploding… and they are! This is a chart that shows the AVERAGE PSA 10 values across sports since 11/1/2020.

2021 Topps S1 BASEBALL -- Available to you.

BreakerCulture — Sun, 07 Feb 2021 17:25:24 GMT

Alright, we are starting to get some more sealed wax the next few months. As promised, I’m making a certain quantity available to subscribers for a highly discounted price. :

The members product site is: http://www.hobbywax.com

The password in February is: benchclear2021

The retail cases will be releasing in waves…and the first SKU coming this week is the …

Random Thoughts

michael rathburn — Wed, 03 Feb 2021 02:53:13 GMT

1 - Optic football started hitting retail over the weekend. Saw a few pics of cellos but it should give an infusion into the football card market as we head into the offseason.

2 - Rob Kardashian looks to be serious about getting into the sports card game as he recently said he is looking to make it a full time thing.

3 - Grant Hill was opening packs of H…

Random Hobby Thoughts

michael rathburn — Fri, 29 Jan 2021 01:02:24 GMT

Random Thoughts in the Hobby

CVS has begun to sell basketball cards. Some people are reporting that
they have found 17/18 NBA Hoops blister packs. My only guess on this
is MJ Holdings had some product sitting in their warehouse and
approached CVS about running a test in a handful of stores. If the
product did well, CVS would then add cards to more stores.

Aga…

Leveraging Ebay Most Watched

michael rathburn — Tue, 26 Jan 2021 03:02:12 GMT

I’m all about leveraging data as much as possible when it comes to finding value in the card market. Especially finding cards that will hit huge multiples like 5x to 10x.

I look at the most watched list by baseball, football, basketball, and soccer. I take note of the players, cards, and the number of times the player is on the list. I try and hit the t…

Leveraging Fantasy Baseball Data - ADPs

michael rathburn — Sun, 24 Jan 2021 01:44:43 GMT

When it comes to baseball investing, I leverage numerous data sources to gather the most intel and then put into action with player cards.

One of the biggest pieces of data is called ADP (average draft position). This is where a player is being drafted in fantasy baseball leagues for the upcoming season. These start in November and run thru to the start …

BUY COLLIN SEXTON!

BreakerCulture — Sat, 23 Jan 2021 14:40:47 GMT

By tomorrow I’ll have you loads of refreshed NBA data to dig through… but let me just say this…. there are a few GLARING buys right now in the NBA. I’ve already been tooting the horn of Nikola Jokic and John Wall. But, right behind them is one of the most blatant STEALS on the NBA MARKET.

COLLIN SEXTON

First off, he just turned 22!

He’s single-handedly s…

NFL Buy List Updated 1.18.21

michael rathburn — Mon, 18 Jan 2021 15:53:27 GMT

My Top Buys List for NFL 1.18.21

SB Odds per Vegas / Football Outsiders / 538

PACKERS +210 / 31.5% / 29%

CHIEFS +200 / 20.2% / 27%

BILLS +325 / 27.9% / 20%

BUCS +450 / 20.4% / 18%

The pack is very tight with the Final 4 teams in the NFL playoffs, but after watching the games this weekend, I came away feeling very strong about the Packers even more.

1-Aaron Rod…

2021 MLB Hobby Predictions

michael rathburn — Mon, 18 Jan 2021 15:28:43 GMT

In no particular order, these are my thoughts on what will take place in the baseball card market for 2021. Some could end up being overall trends.

1 - The super trio of Acuna/Soto/Tatis Jr take over the hobby. It has already started but we will see it in full force in 2021.

2-Eloy Jimenez makes a run for AL MVP. White Sox looked primed for a big year and…

MLB Random Thoughts for 1.13.21

michael rathburn — Wed, 13 Jan 2021 14:22:31 GMT

MLB

Tatis Jr is being heavily promoted in the new Bolt 24 ads (Gatorade). This is huge and shows that a major sports beverage company has put money behind FTJ.

Even my 5 year old son already knows who he is because the ads are all over YouTube,

Another thing is that the ad does not show him playing baseball and drinking Bolt. Its more of a hip hop / fash…

2021 NFL Draft Early Preview

michael rathburn — Tue, 12 Jan 2021 17:11:33 GMT

Before you know it the 2021 NFL Draft will be upon us. There is a chance that the combine could be postponed or cancelled leaving pro days as the only opportunity to evaluate.

The Draft could be pushed back a month or two also. But Prizm Draft should be out the end of March which is less than 3 months away. It will be a monster release, and hopefully Pan…

Sports Card Retail Report 2020

michael rathburn — Tue, 12 Jan 2021 01:31:49 GMT

From time to time, I have access to retail sports card data (Target/Walmart) at a macro level. I was reviewing the 2020 data today to see what could be learned and what might we see in 2021.

We know that flippers and bots ruled retail sports card product in 2020 making it impossible for the average joe to get any product at MSRP. Walmart and Target kno…

My Top 10 Buy List for NFL 1.7.21

michael rathburn — Thu, 07 Jan 2021 17:28:22 GMT

My Top 10 Buy List for NFL 1.7.21

SB Odds per Vegas / Football Outsiders / 538

PACKERS +450 / 24.3% / 21%

CHIEFS +225 / 21.1% / 23%

SAINTS +750 / 18.2% / 19%

BILLS +700 / 17.6% / 16%

BUCS +1000 / 6.8% / 5%

SEAHAWKS +1200 / 4.1% / 3%

RAVENS +1100 / 2.5% / 5%

STEELERS +1800 / 2.4% / 2%

ALL OTHER TEAMS ARE <1%

1-Aaron Rodgers Packers get the bye in the NFC which not …

MLB Thoughts 1.4.21

michael rathburn — Tue, 05 Jan 2021 01:24:11 GMT

Back in the swing of things after Christmas/NY holidays, with a MLB thought post today.

We are starting to see rookie cards jump especially from the 2020 Topps S1 set which is nice. So many players are in line for breakout seasons in 2021. But as I think about the upcoming season, I wanted to address some macro issues with MLB and how they will impact T…

NBA DATA (12/31) & Thoughts on Market

BreakerCulture — Thu, 31 Dec 2020 14:30:48 GMT

Good morning! Hope everyone is excited to put 2020 behind us…and press onward into 2021. I know I am.

But I’m not going to waste the last day of 2020…. we need some refreshed data!

This is Basketball data…. Football/Baseball is updating as I write this. I’ll get it out shortly.

Here is a look at the AVERAGE MARKET CAP (PSA 10 Values X PSA 10 Population).…

NFL Top 10 Buy List 12.29.20

michael rathburn — Tue, 29 Dec 2020 21:35:22 GMT

My Top 10 Buy Rankings for NFL (Updated 12.29.20 with Vegas Odds/Football Outsiders Projected SB Winner)

AFC PLAYOFFS

#1 CHIEFS (100%)

#2 BILLS (93%)

#3 STEELERS (93%)

#4 TITANS (67%) OR #5 (2%) OR #6 (9%) OR #7 (15%) 93% TOTAL

#5 COLTS (33%) OR #6 (17%) OR #7 (28%) 81% TOTAL

#6 RAVENS (53%) OR #6 (22%) OR #7 (8%) 83% TOTAL

#7 BROWNS (44%) OR #5 (14%) OR #7 …

2021 MLB Hitting Prospects 1-5

michael rathburn — Tue, 29 Dec 2020 20:50:26 GMT

I put out a 2021 Topps Rookie list last week, and this is my top 5 list for hitting prospects in 2021. I will cover 5-10 and 11-15 in future posts. These are all players with an expected debut in 2021.

1 - Wander Franco, TB, SS (19) - 2019 BOWMAN. We have known about Franco for almost 3 years since he signed with the Rays at 16. They have a tendency to s…

2021 Topps MLB Rookie Rankings

michael rathburn — Wed, 23 Dec 2020 15:45:42 GMT

2021 Topps Series 1 is scheduled for release February 10, 2021 which is about 7 weeks from now. While Topps will most likely hold back some RCs for S2, for the purposes of this article I will assume they will all be in S1.

This will also serve purpose to looking at players 1st Bowman cards which you can buy now and enjoy the bump once S1 comes out.

The …